In our 2023 outlook, titled “Navigating Uncertainty,” we outlined three broad themes that we believed would influence markets in 2023—continued volatility, moderating inflation, and a bear market bottom....more
U.S. economic growth slowed in the first quarter of 2023, and the current environment sets up the possibility of weak growth for the remainder of the year. Even though growth was positive for the third consecutive quarter, the…...more
The U.S. economy picked up steam in the second half of 2022 after declining in the first two quarters. Despite this recovery, the economy continues to struggle with rising interest rates. Against this backdrop, the Bureau of Economic…...more
The US economy posted modest growth in the quarter, but continues to grapple with high inflation, rising interest rates, and slowing employment growth. Within this landscape, the Bureau of Economic Analysis released the third estimate of the third…...more
As we wrap up 2022, we acknowledge the whiplash that may be felt after ping-ponging between a brief but precipitous bear market in 2020, 18 months of substantial stock gains, and now a year of volatile markets and…...more
The US economy struggled onward in the third quarter as surging inflation and resultant rising interest rates caused further economic contraction. The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released its third estimate of the second quarter real GDP, which…...more
The US economy slowed precipitously in the quarter, as the Russian invasion of Ukraine and significant swings in inventory accumulation put a damper on growth. Against this backdrop, the Bureau of Economic Analysis released the third estimate of…...more
The US economy generated accelerated growth in the quarter, as pandemic related restrictions had increasingly been lifted and the Omicron variant emerged too late to have impacted the data. Against this backdrop, the Bureau of Economic Analysis released…...more
Tensions between Russia and Ukraine, which have been rising for years, came to a head this week. The Russian military operation against Ukraine is causing concerns about the potential impact on markets and the global economy. We offer…...more
Following another year of strong market returns, our view of 2022 sees opportunity, but with far greater moderation. Our 10-year forward-looking market assumptions remain well below long-term averages, with muted returns expected across asset classes....more